Liberals Gain Over Tories

Edmonton (ATB): The Trudeau Liberals have regained the lead in the federal horse race with just over 100 days before October’s election, suggests a new Mainstreet Research poll for iPolitics.
However, the governing party’s narrow 1.8 percentage point lead over the Tories falls just within the margin of error for the phone survey of 2,651 adults (18 and older), conducted between June 27 and July 2.
In the new survey released, the Liberals have the support of 35 per cent of decided and leaning voters, compared to 33.2 for the Conservatives. The NDP sits only a tenth of a percentage point ahead of the Greens in third place with 10.4 per cent of support.
Meanwhile, the Bloc Québécois pulled 4.5 per cent of support nationally (it was only tested in La Belle Province), while Maxime Bernier’s right-wing populist People’s Party of Canada (PPC) was the top choice for 4.6 per cent of respondents. The margin of error for the poll is plus or minus 1.9 percentage points, according to Mainstreet.
When including undecided voters, the Liberals are up on the Tories by a smaller 30.2-29 per cent margin, with the NDP and Greens tied for third at 8.5 per cent. The PPC sits at 4.2 per cent and the Bloc is at 3.8, with the undecideds making up 14.1 per cent.
Compared to Mainstreet’s last poll in April, the Liberals (among decided and leaning voters) are holding steady, the NDP is down slightly, the Greens are up roughly 2.5 points and the Bloc and PPC are enjoying a small uptick. But it’s the Conservatives who have seen the most significant movement, shedding 4.2 percentage points since the spring survey.